[NOT SO] ELOQUENT EMMA

oscars week chapter 3: my predictions (and hopeful upsets)

We’re almost there! the Oscars are just one day away and to finish off my trilogy of Oscar themed blog posts I will be giving my predictions for tomorrows big night (as well as my hopeful upsets). This year has been a clean sweep for many films, and so it should actually be pretty easy to predict the winners. Pretty much every award show (globes, baftas, critics choice, SAGS) have had the same winners. Although, there have been a couple surprises here and there (aka Parasite winning ensemble at the SAGS!) AND, there have been Oscars upsets in the past (insert Olivia Coleman winning best actress last year). And so, I will be predicting the wins for tomorrow night, while also mentioning who I (deep in my heart) think should win.

I will also note that this post would be very long if i were to include every single category and i am definitely not qualified to comment on several of the categories because I either don’t understand them (ie: sound editing/design) or i haven’t seen ANY of the films (all the documentaries and shorts, unfortunately). So, this post will only cover only some of the categories. I will also not be linking the films mentioned in this post because I truly think that will take me 100 years, but you can easily access them all here.

Costume Design:

The Irishman, Sandy Powell, Christopher Peterson
Jojo Rabbit,
Mayes C. Rubeo
Joker,
Mark Bridges
Little Women,
Jacqueline Durran
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,
Arianne Phillips

When it comes to costumes, it seems that The Academy only nominates period pieces/films that take place in the past… I really would’ve liked to see a film like Knives Out on this list because I thought the costuming did a wonderful job of telling us exactly who each character was. But alas, that movie takes places in the present. So, in my own personal opinion I think Little Women should win because the costumes were beautiful. Although, it is possible that Jojo could take this award as they’ve gained some recognition for the nazi uniform replication (which i personally find a bit boring) — but there was also an immense amount of colour and life in the other costumes worn by characters in the film (which i don’t find boring). But, I also love Little Women and I think The Academy tends to gravitate towards costumes like those in this film. I will also point out how ridiculous it is that Rocketman didn’t get a nomination, while Elton John is so well known for his costumes and they recreated them to NEAR PERFECTION. but anyways…

should win: Little Women (Jacqueline Durran)

will win: Little Women (Jacqueline Durran)

Makeup and Hair:

“Bombshell”
“Joker”
“Judy”
“Maleficent: Mistress of Evil”
“1917”

Okay, I will start by saying i have not seen Judy and I have not seen Maleficent. And while I have seen Bombshell, I really don’t like it. But, i think the hair and makeup is the real stand out of the film. They really turned Charlize Theron into Megyn Kelly, it’s almost kind of creepy.

should win: Bombshell

will win: Bombshell

Original Song:

I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away,” Toy Story 4
I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” Rocketman
I’m Standing With You,” Breakthrough
Into the Unknown,” Frozen 2
Stand Up,” Harriet

I have not seen Harriet and I haven’t seen Breakthrough (though I remember watching the trailer once). I kinda wish the original song they wrote for Cats was nominated in this category because that would’ve been HILARIOUS, but it’s probably better that it didn’t. I think this award is going to go to “I’m Gonna Love Me Again,” not only because it is a good song, but it is Rocketman‘s only nomination.

should win: “I’m Gonna Love Me Again”, (from Rocketman)

will win: I’m Gonna Love Me Again”, (from Rocketman)

Original Score:

Joker, Hildur Guðnadóttir
Little Women,
Alexandre Desplat
Marriage Story,
Randy Newman
1917,
Thomas Newman
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,
John Williams

I find this category to be much more difficult than the original song category. While I do think the score from Joker is beautiful (one of the very very few aspects of the film i enjoyed) I also loved the scores for all the other films (and I mean John Williams is JOHN WILLIAMS). That being said, she’s won pretty much every other award this year, so think it’ll go to Guðnadóttir.

should win: Little Women, Alexandre Desplat

will win: Joker, Hildur Guðnadóttir

Best International Feature Film:

Corpus Christi, Jan Komasa
Honeyland,
Tamara Kotevska, Ljubo Stefanov
Les Miserables,
Ladj Ly
Pain and Glory,
Pedro Almodovar
Parasite,
Bong Joon Ho

I have only been able to see 2 out of the 5 nominees, and i really enjoyed both of them. That being said I think Parasite is the clear winner here and I think it will take home the award.

should win: Parasite (Bong Joon Ho)

will win: Parasite (Bong Joon Ho)

Cinematography:

The Irishman, Rodrigo Prieto
Joker,
Lawrence Sher
The Lighthouse,
Jarin Blaschke
1917,
Roger Deakins
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,
Robert Richardson

Roger Deakins is pretty much a god amongst cinematographers and I think his cinematography is one of the best parts of 1917. He’s the favourite to win, and I think he’s 100% deserving.

should win: 1917 (Roger Deakins)

will win: 1917 (Roger Deakins)

Original Screenplay:

Knives Out, Rian Johnson
Marriage Story,
Noah Baumbach
1917,
Sam Mendes and Krysty Wilson-Cairns
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood,
Quentin Tarantino
Parasite,
Bong Joon-ho, Jin Won Han

I really love all the films here, except for maybe 1917. While we have a couple films on here that very much rely on their plot, we also have Marriage Story which is very much about it’s dialogue — something Noah Baumbach is very good at writing. To me, it’s between him, Tarantino, and Bong Joon-ho. Although, I think Tarantino is going to end up taking the cake.

should win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Quentin Tarantino

will win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Quentin Tarantino)

Adapted Screenplay:

The Irishman, Steven Zaillian
Jojo Rabbit,
Taika Waititi
Joker,
Todd Phillips, Scott Silver
Little Women,
Greta Gerwig
The Two Popes,
Anthony McCarten

I want Little Women to win this award with my WHOLE HEART. This should be Greta Gerwig’s Oscar, and I really thought it was going to be. But, in the last few award shows Taika Waititi has been winning this award. Which, i’m not mad at because I do really like Jojo Rabbit, but i’m still sad.

should win: Little Women (Greta Gerwig)

will win: Jojo Rabbit (Taika Waititi)

Animated Feature:

How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World, Dean DeBlois
I Lost My Body,
Jeremy Clapin
Klaus, Sergio Pablos
Missing Link, Chris Butler
Toy Story 4,
Josh Cooley

This is another major category that I unfortunately haven’t seen all the nominees, and i’m also not particularly invested in most of them either. I think it would be cool if I Lost My Body won because it’s an animated film not made for kids — but I also doubt it will win because of that. And while The Missing Link won at the Globe, I think Toy Story 4 will win.

should win: Toy Story 4, Josh Cooley

will win: Toy Story 4, Josh Cooley

Director:

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
Todd Phillips, Joker
Sam Mendes, 1917
Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Bong Joon Ho, Parasite

Will you look at this, another very *cough* manly *cough* year for the best directing category. Anyways, I think it would be very cool if Bong Joon Ho won this award, but alas it will almost 100% be Sam Mendes. And if i’m being honest, I do think he deserves this award because I can’t even begin to imagine directing 1917.

should win: Sam Mendes (1917)

will win: Sam Mendes (1917)

Supporting Actress:

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh, Little Women
Margot Robbie, Bombshell

It’s been a clean sweep for Laura Dern this year, and i’m happy about it. She is really good Marriage Story (and also Little Women!). And while I did really love Florence Pugh’s performance of Amy in Little Women, Dern is a lock in this category.

should win: Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

will win: Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Supporting Actor:

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

I think Pesci is one of my favourite parts of The Irishman, and I especially love it seeing as he came out of retirement to play the role. That being said, Brad Pitt is so good in Once Upon a Time and really deserves the Oscar (and the clean sweep he’s had this year alongside Laura Dern).

should win: Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

will win: Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Lead Actress:

Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renee Zellweger, Judy

I think this is a relatively boring category if i’m being honest. I was really hoping Awkwafina was going to get a nomination for The Farewell after she won the Golden Globe, but alas — they apparently only have room for one non-white actress in this category. That being said I love Sairose Ronan and I think she is wonderful in Little Women, but based on every single other award she has won — I think Renee Zellweger is going to win.

should win: Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)

will win: Renee Zellweger (Judy)

Lead Actor:

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

I understand that Joaquin Phoenix is crazy good in Joker, but that doesn’t mean i have to like the performance. I don’t care how much weight he lost or how mean he was to people on set to get into character. I think Adam Driver has the ability to act while making it seem as though he’s not acting. He is honestly one of the best actors working right now, so I won’t be too disappointed when he ultimately loses to Joaquin Phoenix because i know he will be winning an Oscar someday soon.

should win: Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) or Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

will win: Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Best Picture:

Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Alright, best picture. Probably the most prestigious awards of the night. For a while it was not clear what film was going to win, and then 1917 won the Golden Globe and it seemed as though they were the front runner. Although, then Parasite got a lot more attention and the SAG award. Although, at this rate, 1917 has still been steadily winning awards so I think it will win. But I wish Parasite would.

should win: Parasite

will win: 1917

And there we have it! my predictions for tomorrow nights Oscars Ceremony! At this point, I no longer try and get my hopes up for the films I actually want to win because I know they ultimately won’t. That being said, there’s always the possibility for surprises.

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